Hello,
I set up this blog to upload articles written by me and published in newspapers - mainly the Irish Examiner.
As I am no longer actively submitting articles or being published, this blog is non-active.
Thank you for visiting.
Bill Hobbs
Commentary and analysis from Bill Hobbs who writes on Irish banking, general business and financial issues for national media, principally the Irish Examiner
Monday, January 30, 2012
Tuesday, December 20, 2011
Credit unions are paying a hefty price
With one credit union declaring losses of close to €5m on
subordinated bank bonds, many more will be admitting to similar losses at their
annual general meetings (AGM’s).
Understandably, the Irish League of Credit Unions (ILCU) has
been reluctant to admit to scale of losses in bonds it once heavily promoted to
its member credit unions. Estimates earlier this year put the scale of losses
at €200m.
Including consumer loan write-downs, the sector is facing total
losses of upwards of €1.5bn. While some of this will be covered by operating
income, state bail-out funding will be needed to rebuild capital buffers.
The Government’s recent budget earmarked €500m in bail-out
assistance -credit unions are to be advanced €250m in 2011 and €250m in 2012.
Just how taxpayer’s funds are to be made available is unclear.
Presumably the state will not take an ownership stake as this would sunder the
credit union co-operative structure.
It is probably the case that loan funding will be provided
to support viable credit union balance sheets as non-viable operations are
closed down and others are merged into better governed operations.
One question that looms large is why were Irish credit
unions investing at all in long dated and perpetual subordinated bank bonds?
The root of the answer lies in 1998 when finance minister Charlie
McCreevy relaxed the type of investments trustees were permitted to make. As
credit union investments were also governed by these rules, McCreevy’s move had
the effect of permitting them to invest in riskier assets. This was entirely out
of kilter with other countries that insist credit unions invest in the safest
of assets, principally government stock and top-rated senior bank bonds.
As consumer credit boomed from 2000 onwards, credit unions
were left behind, causing a fundamental distortion in their balance sheets as
loans shrank and investments grew.
Anxious to maintain high dividend pay-out rates to savers,
boards placed excess funds in riskier investments, chasing higher yields.
Many credit unions unwittingly behaved as commercial for-profit
enterprises, sweating their balance sheets to maximise dividends to savers. The
irony was that they were funding both the cash and capital used by banks to finance
the property bubble.
Realising the growing balance sheet distortion and inherent
investment risk, the credit union regulator looked to have the law amended to
reign in risk taking.
This was rebuffed by government officials as ILCU and its
then investment partner Davy, aggressively lobbied against the change.
Eventually after two years of consultations, the regulator
was able to publish non-binding guidelines in late 2006. While these limited
risk taking, it was too late and many credit unions lost money from 2007
onwards. Indeed, many failed to unwind their holdings of subordinated bank
bonds and suffered the consequences this year.
To date, there has been no official investigation or report
on credit union investment activity during the boom years.
Hundreds of millions were invested in imprudent products and
tens of millions lost in what has all the hallmarks of a mis-selling
scandal.
Easy targets, far too many credit union boards of directors
and managers, were persuaded to invest in products their financial advisors
barely understood themselves.
A small number of credit unions have sued their advisors
with varying degrees of success. In some cases advisors have had to make good
losses, in others they have not. Some credit unions are deemed to be
“consumers”.
Whether a credit union is a consumer or not is defined by its
turnover, which is hard to define for a credit institution. The problem is this:
If a credit union is marginally under the threshold it is covered under
consumer protection regulations. If it’s over the threshold, it is not.
But it’s not a matter of defining a credit union as a
consumer or not a consumer.
A credit union board is charged with responsibility and
accountability for prudent governance which means making safe and sound
investment decisions.
As it is a responsibility that cannot be outsourced to a
third party, it should be within the competence of a credit union’s board and
management to understand balance sheet risks, including investment risk.
Competence, responsibility, accountability and fiduciary
care are at the heart of good governance of all credit institutions. Fitness
and probity means having the competence and experience to understand and
control for all risks the enterprise faces. Bond losses are symptomatic of poor
standards of care and indicator of why the credit union sector needs to be reformed.
As credit union members attend AGMs this year, they should
be aware of one fact. Credit union bond losses arise from an ill-advised boom-time
strategy to chase higher yields.
They might be mindful to ask searching questions and demand
that their credit union insists that its regulatory authority investigates and reports
on just how so much money was needlessly lost.
A version of this
article appeared in the Irish Examiner, Business Section, Monday 19th
December 2011.
Monday, December 12, 2011
Vested interests stand in way of bank reforms
Has Government’s banking policy created a reformed regulatory
system captive of banks vested interests?
With its focus on just two dominant
commercial banks, not only has its pillar banking strategy amplified the too-
big- to- fail dilemma, it has also created an uncompetitive, anti-consumer
banking environment.
If major banks are far too important to be allowed to fail,
then is it not the case that executive government, public servants and the
central bank become captive of banks vested interests? If so then we may have
shifted from one form of political and regulatory capture to another.
The boom-time relationship between central banking,
commercial banking, civil service bureaucracy and executive government was partially addressed
in reports into the banking crisis. At best the reports hint at how mutually
reinforcing vested interests literally brought the house down. Politician’s
economic policy, public servants ideology and banking’s vested interest
combined with regulatory captivity to cause both the banking and economic
crisis.
In theory, banks should be regulated by independent
authorities whose governing technocrats, guided by public interest
considerations, should act free from political interference. While the reformed
Central Bank addresses what was wrong with the previous regulatory system
through its new structures and risk control approach, just who defines what’s
in the public interest?
It appears at one level the bank’s new approach to banking
regulation and supervision should act as an early warning system, allowing it
to take prompt corrective action to head off problems. But it could be the case
that intrusive engagement could result in even greater captivity as both banker
and central banker focus on building functioning banks. Both will want to see a
return to sustainable profitability.
If the central bank’s consumer protection
activity does not include product level regulation or price controls then how
will banker’s marketplace behaviours be controlled for?
Is it in the public interest that banks exploit competition
dynamics and engage in anti-consumer loan pricing behaviours? Is it in the
public interest that so many people in debt are left on their own to negotiate
with powerful institutions without any financial safety net?
Yet it could be the case that current banking policy may be
embedding a different form of political and regulatory capture of vested
interests. It’s clearly in the public interest that commercial banking
functions again. But there’s a conflict within the wider public interest, as consumers
are being asked to pay for banking rehabilitation costs in two ways. The first
is explicit within the enormity of the taxpayer bail-out funding of banks.
Billions in consumer derived tax revenues are being used to pay the interest
cost of bank bail-out funding. The second is implicit within higher rates and
fees being charged by banks. Not only have banks increased loan rates, they are
also increasing fees on their utility banking services.
It’s fair to say that Government’s response has fallen well
short of appreciating and responding to the impact of its own policy. It seems
that it has quite deliberately rendered consumer protection absolutely
subservient to banking profitability. In effect its banking policy is a shield
protecting banks from competition and consumer interests. As the banking system
has shrunk, consumers have become captive of remaining bank’s pricing
behaviours.
For example consumer mortgage captivity is particularly acute. People
can no longer shop around as no one is open for business. Those that are open
are rationing credit and cherry picking.
As Government has done nothing to balance vested interests,
its banking policy is inherently anti-consumer by design. For example both the
Cooney and Keane expert groups comprised bankers, regulators and public
servants – three sets of vested interests. The groups did not include for
consumer advocates with the reputational standing and professional competence
to insist the consumer interest be accommodated.
Is it the case that both political and regulatory system capture
has become more and not less embedded in the post-boom environment?
The evidence so far compels a closer examination and
understanding of the relationship between banks, regulatory and executive government
vested interests which have become a mutual re-enforcing survival compact.
Insisting banks pass on interest rate reductions is simply a political reaction
to public concern.
All too often politician’s focus on near term gains comes at
the expense of longer term sustainability of their social and economic
policies. Recognising how large, dominant banks operating in an
anti-competitive environment can exploit their “too big to fail status” will
take more that political insistence on rate reductions.
How can a central bank technocracy effectively balance bankers and consumers vested interests when there is no consumer protection representation?
A version of this article appeared in the Irish Examiner, Business Section, Monday 12th December2011
How can a central bank technocracy effectively balance bankers and consumers vested interests when there is no consumer protection representation?
A version of this article appeared in the Irish Examiner, Business Section, Monday 12th December2011
Monday, December 5, 2011
We need a National Debt Advice Service
The brutal reality of the impact of fiscal austerity
measures means that thousands of households will slide into long term financial
distress, joining over 100,000 others who have no hope of ever repaying what
they owe in full.
The consumer debt crisis is a unique event requiring a
unique response that can only be provided by the Government. With over 150,000 people
needing help, resolving billions in unaffordable debt will require hundreds of
thousands of debt settlement agreements with multiple creditors such as banks, credit unions, revenue, local
authorities and utility companies.
No one existing service provider has the
resources or operational competencies to do this and leaving it to the private
sector is not a realistic option.
With no consumer protection regulations governing the
provision of debt advice, resolution negotiation and settlement, current service offerings fragment across a state
funded agent, not- for- profit services and a host of differing commercial
operations.
MABS, through its national network of independent
self-governing autonomous offices, is doing its best to respond. The demand for
advice has spawned a plethora of commercial debt advisers. Some are charging
fees of people in debt. Others are using free advice as a lead generation tool
to sell life insurance and credit products.
Many are using exploitative tactics, baiting people with
emotional marketing and misleading promises. Some are deliberately
playing on people’s fears by falsely claiming they will instantly relieve psychological
stress. Fabricating client testimonials to sell their services, they use
suicide and clinical depression statistics to market free financial advice.
Debt advice, resolution and settlement services are
regarded as high risk consumer protection activities as there is a heightened
risk of exploitative business practices, including the provision of bad advice
and predatory selling of unsuitable products and services.
Yet, exploitative marketing claims and misleading statements are being made by regulated financial intermediaries who are subject to consumer
protection codes of conduct when selling financial service products. The very
people who became quite skilled at getting people into unaffordable debt are
now claiming they are skilled at getting them out of it.
The provision of debt advice/resolution services is an
expensive, inherently unprofitable business unless it’s paid for by creditors.
No operator has the financial resources or capacity to deliver on the scale
and scope of services required to deliver a comprehensive service.
Even if a private
commercial operation could charge enough, it would need well over 50,000
customers to break-even. The likelihood of any private company having the
resources to invest in achieving this scale is non-existent. Furthermore
private operations cannot provide the scope of professional debt resolution services
required.
It is also the case that the sheer scale of the need for
advice and resolution is the result of a one off, non-recurring event. Any
service response will have to have the capacity to deal with large numbers of
customers and their multiple creditors using standardised, efficient and
effective processes. Achieving this will need improved codes of conduct and
protocols governing debt enforcement and resolution.
The principal of the “All Debt” approach has been widely
accepted as the appropriate service model. All debt includes mediating
resolution agreements with the full range of principal creditors-credit
institutions, revenue, local authorities and utilities. The service should provide
advice, financial affordability assessment, recommend solutions, draft multi-creditor
settlement proposals, make representations and negotiate realistic settlements
with creditors.
The only realistic solution is for the Government to
establish an independent, all debt advisory and resolution service.
Designed to
fit with whatever non-judicial mechanism and process is finally legislated for
it should be governed and operated on a not-for-profit, commercial basis and should include for two components - secured home mortgage debt and
other debt. How the unaffordable element
of mortgage debt is resolved is not really an issue. The key is that all debts
are dealt with, through an integrated approach.
Working with other stakeholders, the debt resolution service
should be empowered to improve the existing consumer protection framework, ensuring that people are afforded the professional representation they need,
protection from abusive enforcement tactics and standardisation of creditor
collection and settlement approaches.
The current situation with hundreds of debt
advisors, offering varying degrees of service, in an unregulated market, is a
recipe for consumer exploitation.
As the scale of the crisis and scope of
services required by people means that only one agent has the power and
resources to respond to their needs, will Government act to create a national
debt advice and resolution service and allocate the funding needed in the
budget ?
A version of this article appeared in the Irish Examiner, Business Section, Monday 5th December 2011.
Wednesday, November 30, 2011
It's all about the debt, stupid.
With German taxpayers being asked to fund Irish civil servants salary increments, no wonder they are pissed off with us.
Let’s face facts here. The agreement was struck using an optimistic anticipation of recovery by a bunch of discredited politicians, who have since lost their jobs. The biggest bunch of bluffers in the history of this state, were blind to their collective hubris. They labelled economic banditry a “boom”.
The brutal reality is we have too many people living on this island for it to work as anything more than a small, specialist regional economy. National sovereignty means nothing when you cannot afford it.
Once again the surreal world of bland consensus forecasting has
caught up with reality. And guess what, the ESRI has confirmed what we all know
to be the case – we cannot slash and burn this economy and society back to
recovery status.
Austerity is an economic Verdun, consuming the futures of the brightest and the best. 70,000 people will leave for futures elsewhere next year. To make matters worse, 30,000 will come here to take up skilled jobs we are not qualified to fill.
Austerity is an economic Verdun, consuming the futures of the brightest and the best. 70,000 people will leave for futures elsewhere next year. To make matters worse, 30,000 will come here to take up skilled jobs we are not qualified to fill.
Economist’s use of benign language to ease the pain, is like
using a hug and a kiss to treat serious illness. All the headline targets are
heading in the wrong direction. Things have moved from being a slowing down in the
pace of decline, to a quickening in the pace. National domestic income, the
stuff Government relies on to generate its revenue, is heading into negative
territory while the Croke Park agreement remains intact.
Let’s face facts here. The agreement was struck using an optimistic anticipation of recovery by a bunch of discredited politicians, who have since lost their jobs. The biggest bunch of bluffers in the history of this state, were blind to their collective hubris. They labelled economic banditry a “boom”.
Some of these bandits were the public service trade unions, which
is why the Croke Park agreement cannot stand and Kenny & Co better come clean before
year end.
Public sector wage rates have to be slashed again with cuts this
time targeted at the medium to higher paid ranks and higher paid pensioners.
The obscenity of the partnership approach resulted in unproductive
swathes leveraging enormous income benefits for no return. The senior civil
service were delighted to see lower ranks pay increased as their rising tide lifted
their boats. And they were very good at benchmarking their salaries to private
sector correlates. But theirs is an aberrant version. Upward only salary
reviews are unique to the public sector. In the private sector, wages are slashed
rates when profits decline.
It’s frankly obscene to argue for increments when the money
to pay for them has to be borrowed by a Government with no credit rating. With German tax payers being asked to fund Irish public sector wage increments, no wonder they are so pissed off with us. And no wonder they are so unwilling to let the ECB fund our sovereign debt given so much of it results from banditry.
While none will admit to it, we are once again using the traditional
default jobs strategy – exporting people. Do we think because we have a sovereign
boundary, that the geographic reality of being a small island within the shadow
of a larger one and off the cost of mainland Europe someway meant we could ever
economically succeed in generating jobs for all the people, all of the time.
We managed to generate jobs for all of the people some of
the time, only because we built houses for them to live in. And to do this we
borrowed billions from abroad, much of which will just have to be written off.
The brutal reality is we have too many people living on this island for it to work as anything more than a small, specialist regional economy. National sovereignty means nothing when you cannot afford it.
We might get to sustainable sovereign independence, where we generate
jobs for most of the people most of the time and accept that some will leave to
go somewhere else. But we can only do this when the debt we used to give a job
to everyone has been slashed – and as we cannot generate enough income to
rebuild and repay – we have two choices. Either we starve to pay the mortgage
or feed ourselves and pay what we can off our debts.
Someone better tell the well paid cohorts within the protected public sector that “it’s
all about the debt, stupid”. We cannot afford to pay you what you think you are
entitled to.
Monday, November 28, 2011
Bruton must take a leaf out of business
Why are our political and permanent governmental systems
grossly ineffective in responding in real time to real time crisis?
Last week, ISME lambasted the Government’s latest announcement of a
small business loan guarantee scheme, calling for more action and less waffle.
“Less
waffle” reflects private sector anger and frustration at Governmental lassitude
and inability to deliver.
Should we expect better of what is a centralised
machine bureaucracy? The design of bureaucratic organisational systems
creates a culture of obedience, deference to authority, silo behaviours and inward
looking political managerial systems that organise around task-driven
dimensions.
Frequently rewarding tenure and rigid adherence to rules and procedures,
such systems are incapable of change or innovation. Skilled
at incompetence, their managers zealously defend the status quo when threatened
with change. When it does happen, change is far too slow to matter. Such systems appear to exist in a parallel universe where time moves far more slowly.
We have one of the most centralised of public sector machine
bureaucracies. Designed to ensure that all power rests with executive
government, its enabling self-perpetuating, self-governing, permanent civil
service administration is incapable of innovation and change. Promoting change
means rocking the boat. And as innovators know their careers will be shortened
if they stick their heads up over the parapet, no one kicks up the dust.
Instead they knuckle down or leave.
Politics itself is a transformation show-stopper. Transformational
leadership competencies are not part of the successful politician’s CV as they hinder the attainment and retention of power. Politicians deliver
compromises that are almost always mere shadows of what should be delivered.
Recent history is littered with politician’s appeasement, compromise and disastrous
policy decisions influenced by permanent public administrators who have never
worked in the real world. In the real world time is a precious commodity. In
business anything that wastes time is a value destroyer.
A prime example of value destruction wrought by the
political and public administration’s parallel universe is seen in the recent
announcement of a “Temporary Partial Loan Guarantee” scheme for small business.
It’s been 39 months since the full blown collapse of the banking system during
which thousands of viable small businesses have needlessly failed with tens of
thousands of jobs lost. In this time, two elected political administrations and
the permanent administration system have done absolutely nothing to respond.
Despite tens of millions spent on staffing job creation organisations little of
any relevance has been achieved. Previous enterprise minister, Mary Coughlan
said she was “looking into it”. Her successor Batt O’Keefe announced “detailed planning”
was in train 14 months ago for a loan guarantee scheme.
No matter how well intentioned people are , no matter how
intellectually committed to creating jobs, they will be stifled, inhibited and
de-motivated by the very system they work in. The culture, values and “how
things are done around here” along with managerial behaviours frustrate
initiatives, sucking the energy from those who would lead and implement initiatives
in real time.
While serious about facilitating job creation, Richard
Bruton may founder in achieving stretching jobs goals using the organisational
systems he has at his disposal. Instead of leaving it to administrators, he should consider
taking a leaf from the world of business where good things get done in real time.
In the private sector, business leaders realise that
frequently new initiatives are best build on green field sites. They create the
space allowing innovators to develop and launch new businesses. To prevent
existing business systems and cultures contaminating innovation, they
physically locate their innovators in a separate location. They bring together
the brightest and best, equip them with resources and then get out of their
way. Riding shotgun, business leaders prevent their line managers from interfering with progress.
The public service is different – because it can never go
out of business if it fails to deliver, it can never deliver fast enough when
faced with real world challenges.
Instead of leaving new initiatives to slowly
grind through the cogs of a machine bureaucracy, Minister Bruton could take
a leaf from business and set up an enterprise innovation system –staffed with
and led by the very best people from both the private and public sector. It
should have the money, resources and power to cut through red tape, force the
pace of change, build innovative solutions and ensure they are implemented. It
should have the capacity to cut across silo behaviours and the skilled incompetence
of the machine bureaucracy.
It’s disappointing that things that could have and should
have been done in the first 100 days of this Government have not been done. A loan guarantee
scheme is but one of the many immediate deliverables that will take far too
long to get over the line.
A version of this article appeared in the Irish Examiner, Business Section, Monday 28th November 2011
Monday, November 21, 2011
National loan 'blue flu' may just work
As the consumer debt crisis escalates, unless it acts to
protect consumers soon Government is acutely exposed to a very real threat of a
borrower’s run on the banks.
During twelve weeks of this summer, another 5,630
householders technically defaulted on their mortgages. With about 63,000 troubled
loans - allowing for secondary top up loans - according to Central Bank
estimates, close 55,000 households are in technical default. It says the
problem is not confined to those in negative equity, as many distressed homeowners
have some equity remaining.
By including restructured “performing” loans together with
those yet to reach the critical 90-day default threshold, the number of distressed
householders increases to over 115,000. The bank says it’s trying to work out how
many more households are vulnerable. But as its published data only covers home
mortgages, no one has any idea how bad other consumer loans, buy- to-let loans
and personally guaranteed business loans are.
Once again worsening mortgage arrears news was positively
spun. Politicians and bankers said that 90% of loans are performing. Imagine responding
to news that road deaths trebled in two years, by saying that it’s okay as
everyone else is still alive. Their positive spin on “low” repossessions is like
saying its okay to keep clinically dead accident victims on life support systems
to keep the numbers of deaths down.
By insisting on keeping dead loans alive on
banks’ balance sheets, thousands of people are needlessly suffering. In a
properly working debt resolution system, repossessions would number over 9,000
a year. What we are seeing in the data is the outcome of a surreal, fabricated
scenario as we all know banking won’t work again until unsustainable loans have
been written off.
Yet some banking commentary implies arrears are worsening because
people are deliberately defaulting on their mortgages in anticipation of a debt
settlement deal. What’s called strategic default happens when people who can’t
pay, lose their willingness to repay once they realise their situation is
hopeless.
With German parliamentarians better informed on our taxation
policy then we are, it seems that Government is no more fiscally empowered than
a local county council. But is it powerless to direct banks get down to the
business of debt settlement and control their oligopolistic loan pricing behaviour?
Apart from those struggling with distressed debt, tens of thousands more are paying
through the nose for variable mortgages. They are captive of their lenders price gouging as the mortgage market is
no longer functioning.
In the third quarter of 2006 lenders made 54,603 loans
totalling €10.9bn. In same quarter this year they made only 3,607 new loans
totalling €623m. In normal times, this level of mortgage lending would just
about keep one medium sized mortgage bank ticking over. As competitive market
forces that should cause a fair market for mortgage rates are non-existent and
will be for some time to come, banks are free to charge what they can get away
with.
Politician’s excuses for non-intervention in what is a
broken market don’t cut the mustard and hinting at passing the buck to the
competition authority is a cop out as is the banking regulator’s position on
not wanting to control prices. Should a banking regulator not want powers to
set prices, surely some other body should be empowered to ensure fair prices
are set.
Given the numbers struggling with declining incomes,
negative equity, joblessness and increasing taxes, a highly educated and
increasingly vocal cohort of concerned citizens realise how disenfranchised they
have become. They know banks have been pump primed with billions to get them
working again. They know that these funds are not being used to either generate
new loans or write down unsustainable ones. They know the money is being invested
in Government bonds whose yields give a better return than loans. Yet while banks
are profiting from a massive infusion of tax-payer funds, they are unwilling to
pass through ECB rate reductions.
Under its "twin pillar bank" strategy, Government
policy has consigned competition and consumer protection to third rate status. Disillusioned
and angry, reform-driven leaders are beginning to emerge. Using real life
stories, theirs is a powerful narrative evidencing the undignified treatment of
people who through no fault of their own cannot pay what they owe. They are
demanding laws that allow people earn a fresh start and force bankers to treat
people fairly.
While they may not be able to influence the political
process, they know that collectively people have the power to reform banking’s
relationship with society. Should they get enough people to threaten to take a
loan payment holiday, then banking behaviour would have to be rapidly altered. Such
a national loan “blue flu” would strike at the heart of the EU/ECB/IMF
programme and could threaten to become a European wide phenomenon.
Will over a quarter of a million beleaguered mortgage
holders remain silent? Unless Government comes up with meaningful response it
risks spawning a grass roots movement that could succeed where it is currently seen
to be failing.
A version of this article appeared in the Irish Examiner, Business Section, Monday 21st November 2011
Monday, November 14, 2011
We need an integrated approach to solve debt crisis
Leaving debt resolution to individual creditors and 'case by case' arrangements is a recipe for disaster, writes Bill Hobbs
Most people have no idea of how to plan a way out of unaffordable
debt. Even where they access information and advice, they will not have the expertise
and skill to negotiate with their many lenders.
Convened last week to consider the Keane report on mortgage
arrears, Social Protection Minister Joan Burton’s stakeholder forum heard from
consumer protection advocates of the urgent need to adopt an integrated
approach to resolving the consumer debt crisis.
They maintain that as mortgage
debt cannot be dealt with in isolation, any consumer protection response must
deal with all debts. Participants also highlighted how, despite the Central
Bank’s mortgage arrears resolution process and improved consumer protection
codes, lenders are treating indebted consumers as wallets to be sweated to
maximise loan repayments. If the intention is to ensure fair treatment, it
seems that regulatory codes and supervision are not having the desired effect.
Government’s response to the consumer debt crisis needs to appreciate
the totality of consumer protection solutions needed. While the Keane report
recommended the establishment of an “independent mortgage advice function”
which would “advise and support mortgage holders in assessing their options”,
its response falls far short of the protection supports required. Critically it
failed to frame its solutions within a properly constructed debt mediation approach
through which people are ensured fair treatment and proper standards of
customer care by their lenders.
This is to be expected as one of the problems experts have
is they cannot know what ordinary people don’t know. Because financial and
legal experts know too much they cannot put themselves in a position of knowing
nothing and will always assume people are more skilled than they are. Most
people do not have the experience or competence to assess their financial
situation. Nor do they have the skills to propose the solutions needed and they do
not have the bargaining power or status to negotiate agreements with their many
lenders. They are, in effect, powerless and acutely exposed to lenders' exploitative behaviour within a non-transparent system that accommodates
bankers’ insistence on a “case by case” approach.
Can all bankers be trusted to treat people fairly and
equitably and not to favour some over others? There are indications that some
banks would welcome a “total debt” mediation and settlement system that they
can themselves can rely on.
It makes absolute sense that mortgage affordability cannot
be dealt with without also dealing with all other debts. The scale of debt settlements and scope of
solutions needed to work out billions in unaffordable debt and unsustainable
mortgages is seen in what little data is being made publically available. With
banking and credit union consumer expected loan losses amounting to over €13bn, chances
are that close to 100,000 people will need to arrange over well over 300,000
debt settlement agreements with dozens of creditors that include not only banks
and credit unions but revenue, utility companies and local authorities.
Leaving debt resolution to individual creditors and their
“case by case” arrangements is a recipe for a social and economic crisis. It’s
in Government’s, lenders, other creditors and consumers best interests that a
transparent system is established through which people can arrange to settle
their debts and creditors can face up to the business of debt settlement.
Consumers will be best protected by a dedicated, expert debt
advice and resolution system that proposes and achieves debt settlement
arrangements and agreements on their behalf. Such a system would see competent,
experience, qualified advisors proposing and agreeing realistic mortgage
solutions and other personal debt settlement arrangements with a consumer’s
creditors. Properly structured this approach would ensure fair treatment and
high standards of customer care. It would also integrate with the state’s new
insolvency regime which will see a legally enforceable non-court based debt
settlement regime through which people will earn a fresh start after a short
period of time. Indications are this regime will include for mortgage debt and
allow a fresh start after three years.
The focus of a debt advisory and resolution service should
be on establishing and mediating sustainable agreements and getting lender’s
agreement on these. It should also be a consumer protection advocate with the
status and muscle to get banks and others to treat people fairly and ensure
best practice in consumer protection.
But such a system cannot be shoe-horned
into existing state supports as they are not designed to provide the scale and
depth of expert based service required. Many observers consider existing services
have become captive of banker’s interests.
Any new national debt advice and settlement mediation
service will have to be built as a new service and not a bolt-on to existing
service providers. It should also have the reputational standing and status of
a senior stakeholder with powers to ensure fair treatment.
A version of this article appeared in the Irish Examiner, Business Section, Monday 14th November 2011.
Tuesday, November 8, 2011
Reform of business practices is essential
Revelations over the weekend that civil service managers are
unable or unwilling to implement a performance management system designed to ensure higher
standards of employee performance come as no surprise.
Illustrating a twin culture of entitlement and subservient
acquiesce to preserving a carefully constructed status quo, it’s an admission
of leadership failure. As turkeys don’t vote for Christmas, it’s unlikely that
civil service managers would ever act to reign in their own salaries, least of
all within a system designed to ensure its own sustainability no matter what
political administration is in power.
Crafted through years of “partnership” agreements that
prevented real change, this state’s largest employer, Government is stuck in a
rut of its own making as the latest partnership manifestation, the Croke Park agreement, ensures that undeserved entitlements are ring fenced and protected.
If
this is the case, then there cannot be any real transformative change. We are
stuck with funding a dysfunctional civil service unless real transformative
leaders emerge.
These are the people who change the way people act by using
narrative intelligence to ensure others are enthusiastically engaged. They get
people to change by getting them to imagine and act out a better future. But
who is responsible for crafting a fit for purpose civil service?
Politicians should admit to a fact of life, they cannot be
transformative leaders. Theirs is the business of compromise, the consensus
agreed to ensure re-election. Characterised by the acquisition and retention of
power, successful politicians are the ones who are elected and re-elected. They
make flexible, generalised campaign promises, to appeal to the broadest
electorate and then renege on them. If a politician tries to persuade people to
do something different, to show transformational leadership, they guarantee
their own demise.
Should we expect politicians to be leaders when we elect
them to preside over the body politic? After all what is a minister other than
the political head of an administrative department? A Taoiseach, a “prime”
minister, who administratively heads the government?
The parable of the boiled frog which remains in the water as
the heat is being turned up to be boiled alive is apt. Are we being boiled
alive to protect bond holders’ wealth base or is it a case of a collectively
hoping a regressive economic cycle will end and people once again feel
confident enough to go out and spend money?
As the citizens of Berlin don’t elect Dublin politicians, their
narrative differs. In Berlin it’s all about getting errant states to pay their
way to protect the might of core EU engine, the German economic model. In
Dublin it’s all about regaining economic sovereignty by agreeing to what Berliner’s
want: Both hope that we will start spending again. Both act as if economic
activity strong enough to pay off borrowings and fund recovery is possible.
Both are unwilling to make the decisions needed to re-craft the euro project.
Economist Constantin Gurdgiev says we owe too far too much
to have any hope of economic recovery. It seems we will be unable to grow fast
enough to fund recovery and fund debt repayments. Translating this to families
means the burden of state and personal debt repayments will stifle recovery and
government’s austerity programme will snuff out ability to repay.
The bigger
picture is one of some nation states who have excess money and those that don’t
have enough. Rebalancing this equation means that as creditor states are as captured
as debtors states, debt settlement will have to be shared equally.
Rarely has business, politics and family collided as they
have in the past three years. We are living with what happens when business is
used by others to achieve their instrumental objectives – wealth and status
within a political economy designed to further these business objectives. But
it seems this is about to change – not because of transformational leadership –
but caused by the social and economic consequence of un-repayable debt.
Government’s muted new insolvency regime indicates a
decision that people are to be allowed to fail and get back on their feet
again. If a measure of an entrepreneurial society is its capacity to forgive
personal failure and allow people to rebuild their lives then it’s a move that
shows some responsiveness to a dilemma posed.
That dilemma is encapsulated by a sovereignty status largely
dictated by external political forces we have no control over but also framed
within our own willingness and capacity to encourage transformational change
where we can.
For that to happen ways have to be found to ensure that not
only is the civil service reformed but that the society and economic model it’s
designed to support is also defined. So far all focus has been on austerity with
little or no thought applied to what will be the outcome of years of
austerity.
A version of this article appeared in the Irish Examiner, Business Section, Monday 7th November 2011
Monday, October 31, 2011
We need to build business we can trust
The presidential campaign surfaced a need to reconnect the economy with society and ethics.
President elect Michael D Higgins believes there is a need
to “recognise the need for a reflection on those values and assumptions, that
had brought us to such a sorry pass in social and economic terms, for which
such a high price has been paid and is being paid”
In reminding us of what goes so badly wrong when
individualism married to a facilitating political elite pursues wealth creation
without consideration for wider society, Higgins believes we need to reconnect
the economy, society and ethics.
Never again should small groups of influential insiders be
allowed to garner wealth at the expense of society. The powerful influence of
business people seeking to exploit position to further their own aims must be tempered
for the greater good. After all the freedom afforded business to operate within
a system that advances and facilitates ease of enterprise-creation exists only
as citizens through elected representatives permit it. When public representatives
become captive of sectional interests and are influenced by cheque book
lobbying, democracy is usurped to benefit the few and disenfranchise the many.
Recasting the legitimate and ethical role of business and
crafting a new economic model will take more than talking up the national advantage
of a young educated population, the best of who are once again emigrating. Any
new economic model must exist within a society that exposes values of decency,
integrity, egalitarianism and equality. And it must be a society where ethical business
behaviour does not simply mean mere legal compliance.
The shallow narrative and imagery promoted by some
presidential candidates failed to grasp that authentic leadership requires messages
rooted in the values Higgins and those who elected him espouse. Riven with deliberately
ambiguous messages, spun to garner votes from as broad a population as possible,
other candidates’ leadership aspirations were rejected.
Sean Gallagher’s hope inspiring narrative threatened to
become a triumph of style over substance until this time last week when his
carefully crafted independent status was undone, largely by his own hand. Best
described as a motivational brand image, his message was cleverly communicated to
win votes. A disingenuous melange of enticing promises that no president could
ever have delivered on also contained a leadership blind spot.
Gallagher’s blind spot was his failure to respond to the
powerful imagery created by his use of the word “envelope”, faltering
recollection, his subsequent “bagman” denial and obfuscation in explaining
business accounting transactions.
Once the thin veneer of motivational wallpaper was stripped
back, people saw an unreconstructed, unrepentant businessman and member of the
Fianna Fail’s boom time elite. Gallagher was caught in that grey area between
politics and business. People sensed he was an unrepentant boom-time journeyman
and promoter of materialistic individualism.
During his interview with Mike Murphy last week, journeyman-in-chief
Bertie Ahern enunciated his own unrepentant construct that Ireland’s economic
collapse wasn’t down to his leadership failings but others inability to open
his mind to what was going so badly wrong. Hubris, that belief in self-image
and vision are the hallmarks of poor leadership, as is a lack of humility in
accepting responsibility and accountability for things when they go wrong.
Unfortunately for Gallagher, he seemed to represent the same
unquestioning commitment to individualism that was so responsible for the
destruction of national wealth.
Perhaps we should be thankful to Gallagher as he unwittingly
shone a light on a dark place others would prefer to keep hidden. We should
also be thankful that the media forced into the open a past that must never again
be repeated.
The lingering concern is that wealthy people continue to
have greater access to politicians based on the value of their bank accounts.
If this is so, then all talk of reform is meaningless unless the lessons
starkly illustrated by Gallagher’s undoing are learned by this Government.
Higgins’ election represents a triumph of substance over
style, deep wisdom over shallow individualism. It illustrates how ordinary
people realise that out of the chaos of an economic collapse we must craft a
better society. One built on what we are good at and one intolerant of
unfettered individualism and political clientelism.
The ability of business to be a force for the good requires
that trust be rebuilt in business. The same is true for politics. This means
honest, open repentant acknowledgement of what went so badly wrong and a demonstrable
commitment to achieving higher ethical standards today.
A version of this article appeared in the Irish Examiner, Business Section, Monday 31st October 2011.
Tuesday, October 25, 2011
'Muddle through 'approach must cease
Anyone interested in appreciating how the Government needs
to urgently come up with a national strategic response to the consumer debt
crisis should read an important contribution made last week in a statement on
“Personal and Mortgage Debt” published by a group of legitimate, expert
consumer representative organisations, New Beginning and leading academics.
Available on www.flac.ie, the
FLAC (Free Legal Aid Centres) website, the statement “urgently calls for a
national strategy to be put in place to resolve over-indebtedness and to foster
a responsible credit market that would prevent a similar crisis from occurring
for future generations”.
Correctly arguing for an “All Debt” approach, FLAC and
others set out nine important principles. They want to see a national Debt
Resolution Agency and nationwide network of expert consumer advocates who will work
with people to arrange debt settlement solutions for all their debts.
By
including for mortgage and other debts, they say that people should be provided
with a legally robust mechanism to establish sustainable mortgages and pay what
they can afford off other debt for a defined period of time, after which the
balance would be written off. Pragmatically,
the group recognises that for unsustainable mortgages, people may need to
become tenants rather than owners.
The statement leaves no wriggle room for moral hazard hawks - those who hold that decent,
honest people will deliberately render themselves insolvent to benefit from
debt settlement writedowns.
The group says that Government’s “muddling along in the hope
that things will get better” is no longer acceptable as the social costs are
“potentially enormous as families and communities disintegrate under the weight
of financial pressure and the uncertainty of what the future will bring”. From an economic perspective “the lack of a plan of action and a sense of
the state assuming responsibility hampers consumer spending and fresh lending”
By adopting the same minimalist “muddle through” approach as
the last administration, this Government has so far failed to appreciate and meaningfully
respond to magnitude of the consumer debt crisis.
The penny appears to have dropped somewhat once
the Keane mortgage arrears report was seen as being as ineffective as its
predecessor the Cooney report. But by inviting other
solutions, Taoiseach Enda Kenny seems not to have understood the scope and
depth of what is a long term unaffordability crisis and not just a temporary mortgage
arrears problem.
Government’s response can no longer rely on a conveniently packaged
bundle of “extend and pretend” sticky plaster solutions to be supervised by the
Central Bank.
The bank’s primary mandate to ensure banking system stability and
regulate and prudentially supervise individual banks conflicts with its mandate
to protect consumers. No matter how many consumer protection codes of conduct
it publishes and polices, it will always be captive of its primary mandate. The
bigger issue is that the bank cannot impose solutions and cannot cover non-bank
consumer debts such as rent, utility and revenues arrears.
It is clear from Oireachtas committee testimony last week
that the Cooney and Keane reports failed to accommodate the views of legitimate
consumer representatives.
Consumerists’ language and narrative is all about affording
people a fresh start earned over time through an organised just and fair debt
settlement process. They see this as providing for two alternative pathways.
The first allows for non-judicial, legally binding debt settlement agreements organised
through expert consumer advocate advisors; the second, a quick bankruptcy process
for hopelessly insolvent people and complex high value cases.
These pathways
are also recommended by the Law Reform Commission in its report on personal
debt management and enforcement.
While new insolvency laws are in the works, if Government is
serious about responding it shouldn't wait for legislation to slowly wind
through the political system. It can respond today by establishing an interim
Debt Resolution Agency. Using existing regulatory and legal frameworks and working
with all consumer protection regulators it could oversee, direct and synergise
an inter-agency focus on consumer debt resolution. It could also start building
the national network of expert advocates so urgently needed to provide people
with the professional representation they deserve.
A good starting point would be to appoint people with the credibility
and expertise to design and deliver on such a just and fair national debt
resolution strategy. People like FLAC’s Paul Joyce and Noeleen Blackwell,
experienced consumer advocates and others like them who are likewise committed
to consumer representation, simply must be involved from now on.
A version of this article appeared in the Irish Examiner, Business Section, Monday 24th October 2011
Monday, October 17, 2011
No credit due to the credit union sector
The publication of the interim report of the
Commission on Credit Unions is the first phase of a major effort to transform
the viability of the sector.
The credit union regulator is finally about to get the
powers it needs to properly regulate and supervise credit unions.
Recommendations contained in the credit union commission’s interim report if implemented
in full will establish the type of modern regulatory framework that ensured
credit unions elsewhere evolved as robust financial service firms.
Comprising academics, the credit union regulator, trade
association representatives and other individual expertise, the commission’s recommendations
should create an effective modern credit union regulatory system and improve
credit union governance and risk management capabilities. It is the first phase
in what will be a major transformation programme to transition credit unions to
a new operating model and network structure.
With over 200 operating under regulatory direction
restricting lending - over 100 of which are no longer fully functioning credit
institutions as they cannot pay a dividend- can credit unions ever become efficient
mobilisers of household savings using their existing business model?
The commission is silent on this key question, as it
will consider a strategy for the future of the sector in its next instalment. However,
its interim report includes financial performance data, publically made
available for the first time, confirming analysts’ predictions that significant
consolidation will be required if credit unions are to fulfil their function as
savings and loans institutions.
While the aggregate data indicates reasonable levels
of capital reserves which the commission puts down to regulatory leadership,
the outcome of Central Bank’s PCAR stress tests and Grant Thornton’s review is not
given. It’s likely the state recapitalisation requirement of €500m-€1b recently
announced by Minister Noonan is derived from these tests, as financial
performance continues to trend downwards across all sizes of credit unions.
In this instalment, the commission’s recommendations
are focussed on the immediate and urgent need to resolve non-viable credit
unions, stabilise troubled but viable ones, strengthen the regulatory
stabilisation and resolution framework and make significant improvements in credit
union governance and risk management capabilities.
While it says its report “does not impact on the independence of the
Central Bank in the performance of its statutory functions” and is “without
prejudice to the performance by the Central Bank of its statutory functions”, the authors confirm the effectiveness of the
regulatory interventions pursued to date, and support the strategy proposed by
the bank in its recent communications and seen in recent amendments to banking
resolution legislation.
Conscious of the need for urgent remedial action, it wants the Central
Bank’s new resolution powers to be applied to non-viable credit unions. These
powers include appointment of special managers, enforced mergers and
liquidation. It also wants the bank to set up and manage a stabilisation
mechanism and fund for viable credit unions and wants credit unions to pay into
the fund. It’s likely that this will be the mechanism through which up to €1bn
in state recapitalisation funding could be made available.
The report however is silent on what happens to the
controversial ILCU stabilisation scheme and current stabilisation assistance.
In what is a watershed recommendation, in keeping with
robust regulatory systems elsewhere, the commission says the bank should introduce
a prudential rule book which would set out in detail what is required of credit
unions with rules derived from its new regulation making powers.
Other recommendations include a fitness and probity
regime, risk management framework, new internal audit functions and minimum
competency requirements. These are clearly designed to improve governance and
management capacities.
As credit union trade bodies have strenuously resisted
the widening of regulatory powers and insisted that the setting of regulatory
rules be a matter for the Oireachtas and not their regulator, it remains to be
seen if they are fully supportive of these recommendations.
ILCU’s more recent denial of credit union financial
fragility and its accusations that the Central Bank is driving people into the
arms of moneylenders only serve to undermine public confidence. The Taoiseach’s
and Minister for Finance forthright rebuttal of these accusations and support
for the Central Bank along with the commission’s position mean the era of light
touch credit union regulation is over.
When implemented in full, the commission’s
recommendations will bring to an end a decade of governmental ambiguity and
indifference to the credit union sector and in particular its regulation and
supervision.
In
comparison to their international peers, Irish credit unionists were quite
reckless during the boom. For nearly a decade most they engaged in imprudent
decision making and exposed balance sheets to increasing risks. When appointed
in 2003, the credit union registrar, emasculated by inadequate legal powers,
civil servant indifference and trade body political lobbying did what he could
to reign in credit union risk taking.
While
banking regulators were asleep at the wheel, he was trying to get then Finance
Minister, Brian Cowen and his officials to wake up to systemic risks. Efforts
to reign in investment risk were frustrated by trade body lobbying against
their regulators proposed investment code.
When
they were eventually published, the registrar’s voluntary investment guidelines
came too late and credit unions lost tens of millions when their high risk
investments plummeted in value in 2008.
Similarly
in 2006, the registrars’ promotion of a deposit guarantee and stabilisation
system which would have provided the wherewithal to minimise lending risks, was
rebuffed by Cowen and his officials and he was told to talk to ILCU about
approving its self-regulatory system.
Had
Cowen supported his regulator and acted on others warnings, including mine, credit
unions may not have destroyed so much community capital.
Such is the background and context for government and
Central Bank intervention and reason why so much public money will be made
available to recapitalise them.
A public policy response in recognising the importance
of credit unions may finally provide the wherewithal to the credit union
regulator to ensure the right thing is done. It’s a pity it’s taken an economic
crisis to do so.
Temporary Debt Solutions Not Enough
The Government
needs to realistically respond to the biggest economic and social issue facing
the country – the consumer debt crisis.
Banks are
dragging their heels on dealing with it, the central bank hasn’t the powers to
get them to behave themselves, and the mortgage modification programme is no
more than an “extend and pretend” mechanism to protect bank capital. The
Central Bank’s threat to look for powers to cap interest rates on variable rate
mortgages was reported on as a consumer protection initiative. It could equally
be considered a bank capital protection measure.
Mortgage
lenders loan pricing behaviour is just one of many anti-consumer issues that
have been conveniently ignored within a process carefully calibrated and
designed to protect bank balance sheets. Both the “Cooney” and “Keane” mortgage
arrears groups, which the central bank participated in, did not raise mortgage
pricing behaviour as a policy issue.
There are
other “kick the can” examples. In response to a MABS’ proposal on the voluntary
surrender of family homes, the central bank said that as it had given the banks
an undertaking not to review the mortgage arrears consumer protection code for
a year and a half, it would not consult on the MABS recommendation until 2012.
It seems consumer protection clocks in Dame Street tick as slow as they always
have done.
The Government’s
policy response in insisting that mortgages are repaid in full totally conflicts
with its policy on insisting that homeowners are not turfed out of their homes.
That conflict can only be resolved by either permitting wholesale repossessions
or implementing a proper loan modification programme including debt forgiveness
solutions.
But modifying
mortgages is a solution to one half of the consumer debt problem – the other
half includes personal loans, investment property loans, personally guaranteed
small business and commercial property loans, revenue and utility debt.
If the
Central Banks’ stress test is applied to all categories of consumer lending
then under benign economic conditions, lender’s loan losses could amount to €5.5bn
in home owner mortgages and €7.7bn in other loans of about €175bn in total
consumer debt. While excluding other personally guaranteed loans that morph
into personal debts once called in, the numbers are useful as they illustrate
the size of a problem that no one has overarching responsibility for. Dealing
with it piecemeal by focussing solely on home owner mortgages won’t work.
The Keane
mortgage group report was not disappointing if what you were expecting was a
five humped camel – a camel of course being a horse designed by a committee. The
earlier Cooney report on mortgage arrears, a cousin of the Keane five humped
camel, completely ignored personal loans which are just as distressing for
indebted householders and just as toxic on bank balance sheets.
The most
glaring omission of the Government’s “Cooney/Keane” approach has been the concept
of debt forgiveness. Cooney/Keane harps on about moral hazard. Yet the Law
Reform Commissions proposals which are built on the debt forgiveness concept,
clearly and unambiguously set out how moral hazard can be minimised.
Why is
organised debt forgiveness being ruled out? The problem for bankers is once the
concept of debt forgiveness is introduced then they will have to deal with the loan
losses they are hiding within their forbearance programmes. It seems that insolvency
legislation is another can being kicked down the road to protect bank balance
sheets.
Last
Thursday, at the Central Bank’s conference on mortgage arrears, Blackrock
Solutions presented on international mortgage modification programmes. It believes
that certain types of loan modifications seem to work better than others and that
U.S. experience suggests that principal forgiveness is more effective that
other types of loan modifications. It also maintains that house prices are
significant driver of defaults in “non-recourse” and recourse markets and that
negative equity matters in all the markets it’s studied. It also observed that
European loan modifications seem to be driven by accounting or capital
preservation.
Called debt
forgiveness here, principal forgiveness is an inevitable consequence of loan
unaffordability and negative equity. While Blackrock leans towards negative
equity as the key driver of loan defaults, the central bank leans towards
affordability. Given the scale of distressed, unaffordable mortgages, impact of
negative equity and negative long term impact on affordability it’s as clear as
a pikestaff that principal forgiveness will have to be factored into loan
modification programmes here.
How this is
done is also important as any mortgage modification programme cannot be
considered in isolation to other distressed consumer debt. Principal
forgiveness and not capital preservation simply has to become a policy response
to dealing with the consumer debt crisis. What’s more responding to mortgages
on their own without dealing with other loans at the same time won’t work. It
will take a complete solution including non-judicial debt settlement agreements
and empowered consumer protector to oversee the totality of consumer debt – not
just bank debt.
A version f this article appeared in the Irish Examiner, Business Section, Monday 17th October 2011
Monday, October 10, 2011
Credit union restriction was warranted
Had credit unions been regulated, governed and managed to
standards found elsewhere they would not need to be bailed out by the state. Recent
criticism of the Central Bank’s intervention to stabilise credit unions is both
unfounded and unwarranted.
About one hundred credit unions - one in every four- are no
longer fully functioning credit institution as they are unable to pay
dividends. Along with two hundred others they have had their lending restricted
by their regulator.
When credit unions can no longer function they are either
closed down or their business is transferred to viable operations. And as it costs money to do this, if credit
unions don’t have it, the state typically funds the costs.
For some reason the Irish League of Credit Unions (ILCU), a
trade body considered by many partly responsible for the distressed financial
fragility of so many credit unions, maintains that no credit unions at present
are in financial difficulty or trouble.
About this time last year I wrote that state support of
about €650m would be needed. Last week Minister Michael Noonan confirmed this
analysis when he referred to a taxpayer bail-out fund of between €500m and
€1bn. Taking to the airwaves, ILCU said there are “no credit unions at present who
are in financial difficulty” and the bailout is a restructuring fund.
Maybe it’s concerned that despite a guarantee of €100,000
should savers lose confidence in their credit union they may move their money
elsewhere en-mass and cause local runs. But this hardly squares with accusing
the Central Bank of driving people to moneylenders as it only serves to
undermine public confidence in their credit union.
It could have been different had regulatory attempts to
reign in risk taking not been emasculated by civil servant indifference and
trade body political lobbying.
Since established in 2003, the registrar of credit unions
has struggled with limited powers to reign in risk taking. Between 2005 and
2007, concerns raised by the regulator and others to then finance minister, Brian
Cowen, and his senior civil servants were discounted and ignored.
The Central Bank, which considers only 46 credit unions “low
risk”, is finally to be given the powers it needs to properly regulate and
supervise credit unions.
In recent weeks there has been a concerted campaign to
portray the Central Bank’s lending restriction imposed on three out of four credit
unions as a primary cause of their problems.
If all credit unions face the same challenges what are the
other one- in- four doing that they haven’t been restricted? Addressing this, in a recent speech, the
credit union regulator said “it might be convenient to put stresses now evident
in many credit unions down to difficult macro-economic environment we are now
experiencing and there is much truth in that. However, this is only partly the
reason.
For those increasing number of credit unions who now find
themselves in financial difficulty there is a recurring trend – they have been
poorly governed by boards and management and effective oversight by their
supervisory committees has been non-existent”
Credit union activists here would have people believe they are
heavily regulated. The truth is they are not regulated anything like credit
unions in other advanced countries where they are subject to regulations and
supervision every bit as robust as banks.
Were it not for regulatory leadership and intervention since
2008, hundreds of credit unions would have been forced to close their doors by
now. Had the regulator the powers it is now getting, it could and would have
prevented credit union boards and management imprudent risk taking and
prevented the destruction of so much community capital.
Before local politicians criticise the Central Bank for
doing its job maybe they should consider why so many credit unions are in
financial trouble and why others are not.
A version of this article appeared in the Irish Examiner, Business Section, Monday 10th October, 2011
Monday, October 3, 2011
Time to regulate commercial debt management firms
The
collapse of Home Payments Ltd highlighted the urgent need to regulate commercial
fee-charging debt management firms.
Highly
controversial, these firms sell products called debt management plans to distressed,
vulnerable consumers. Like Home Payments, they provide a payment service in
handling and distributing people’s money to their creditors.
Since
2009, any firm making payment services available to consumers has to be authorised
and regulated by the Central Bank under the European Payment Services Directive.
Regulations require firms to establish whether or not they should be authorised.
Should
the Central Bank hold that debt managers must be authorised firms, they could be
instructed to cease making payments on behalf of consumers. It’s a move that would
undermine their profit model which is entirely dependent on hefty fees deducted
from money handled for consumers. Firms operating from Britain would
also have to cease handling money, unless authorised by the British Financial
Services Authority.
Asked
of its position, the Irish Bankers Federation, which is on record for some time
in calling for the regulation of commercial debt management companies, said it
believes they “should be regulated as payment institutions under the Payment
Services Directive where appropriate and this position was made known to the
Central Bank in the past.”
The
sector is heavily populated by British/Irish joint venture firms and firms
operating directly from Britain
where they have come in for stinging criticism from the OFT (Office of Fair
Trading) which licenses them as high risk consumer protection operations.
Since the Home Payments scandal broke, the
Central Bank has sought to clarify the debt manager business model. It says it “has written to banks and
insurers seeking details on firms that may be acting as payment agents for
customers and to advise their customers that any money held by such firms are
not covered by the Deposit Protection Scheme.” Having identified a list of “approximately a
dozen companies” that appear to be offering debt management/debt advice type
services to consumers, it is writing to inform them “that they need to
establish whether their activities require authorisation under the PSD, and if
such activities are undertaken by the firms they will have to cease
immediately.”
When
contacted, Moneyvillage Ltd, a domestic joint venture operation set up in
January last year, said that it has responded to the bank saying its position
is that it does not have to be authorised. The company which handles and
distributes consumer’s money, is a founding member the Debt Managers Association
of Ireland, a trade body set up last year to advocate for regulation.
A
spokesman for Irish Mortgage Corporation, which recently closed down its stand
alone debt management firm Credycare, believes that debt managers should be
regulated and people’s money protected.
He
explained Credycare closed as it found it couldn’t charge the level of fees
required to become profitable. It’s a move that begs questions of the viability
of other operations. If it’s the case that these firms cannot achieve
commercial viability then they may not pass muster with the Central Bank’s stringent
authorisation criteria.
MABS
also wants to see commercial debt managers regulated. As they only deal with
unsecured debt and not the totality of consumer indebtedness, it believes they risk
making problems worse and not better for people. The Consumer Affairs
Association, seriously concerned at the lack of consumer protection said “the
way is clear for struggling consumers to be burned severely and yet the danger
is being ignored”
The
Central Bank may have a quite effective mechanism to respond to calls for
regulation without the need for new legislation or regulations. By requiring commercial
debt managers to be authorised payment service agents, they would be regulated and
supervised for solvency, fitness and probity and commercial viability. Working
with the National Consumer Agency, the bank could issue strict guidelines on
other consumer protection aspects such as misleading advertising and unfair
terms. This approach was brought to the attention of both bodies by me in
February 2010.
It
seems that with a little bit of lateral thinking, fee-charging commercial debt
mangers could be regulated and a glaring gap in consumer protection closed off.
A version of this article appeared in the Irish Examiner, Business Section, Monday 3rd October 2011
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)