After
delaying consolidation for years, credit unions are about to have it foisted on
them.
Central Bank
officials are making ready to apply regulatory triage by taking dozens of non-viable
credit unions into care. Using its extensive resolution powers, the bank can appoint
special managers to take over the running of credit unions, remove their boards
and managers, order the takeover of one by another and where required,
temporarily fund balance sheet rehabilitation costs.
While there’s
mention of numbers shrinking from 409 to about one hundred, fewer than fifty
are likely to be viable operations at this time. These numbers are the outcome of
boom-time complacent sectoral leadership and poor governance when credit union
balance sheets were increasingly exposed to risks. Concerned only to maximise
saver’s dividends, their boards of directors and managers did not invest in building
sustainable businesses and balance sheets capable of withstanding the economic
recession.
Consequently,
to prevent them pouring petrol on fires they built in their own backyards, close
to three hundred credit unions have had their lending capacity restricted by
the Central Bank.
Last week, in what was probably an orchestrated campaign, trade
body representatives and local politicians publically criticised the Central
Bank, claiming it was driving people into the arms of moneylenders. They got
their response in Taoiseach Enda Kenny’s robust defence of the Central Bank’s interventions
to protect savers funds. Its interventions, which also include insisting credit
unions account properly for asset values and come clean on losses, are driving
the need to stabilise the network by consolidating it down to a viable and sustainable
size.
Consolidation
is an inevitable outcome of credit union maturity. In the U.S. , Canada
and Australia
while numbers of credit unions have been declining for years, customer numbers
and branches have grown. In these countries, induced by crisis events far less
serious than here, consolidation was driven by governments and their regulatory
agencies. And credit union leaders responded positively. Consolidation allowed
them to realise scale economies to invest in modern technologies and establish
the centralised shared services required to offer a full range of high quality financial
services. The same is true of co-operative banking consolidation in mainland Europe .
Today we
are seeing similar crisis induced, regulatory leadership by the Central Bank’s experienced
credit union regulator the Registry of Credit Unions. It has acted to control
investment and lending risks and while insisting on proper reserves, has permitted
loan modifications and established a robust resolution system to enable the sector
to survive and prosper. It has done so in the face of objections by credit
union representative bodies who blame external forces and regulatory
intervention for causing financial instability problems. The reality is that
the root cause stems from credit union board rooms. An aging generation of long
serving directors and their managers focused solely on maximising savers
dividends and ignored the sustainability of the credit union itself.
Crisis
induced, regulatory imposed consolidation won’t work unless it’s framed within
a broader strategic context. At a recent conference for managers and auditors,
Professor Ray Kinsella spoke of the need to “bail in” credit unions as distinct
to “bailing out” banks. At this conference, I illustrated one possible “bail
in” approach when I presented on my paper “A Co-operative Banking Strategy for Ireland ”
recently submitted to the Commission on Credit Unions. It’s available on my
blog, billhobbsie.blogspot.com.
Credit unions are economically important as they mobilise household
savings as loans and socially important as they help create community social capital.
Guided by a philosophy, which is best seen in their consumer advocacy values,
the fundamental business purpose is to provide high quality financial services
at fair prices to anyone who wants them. By excelling at this purpose they build
the capital reserves needed for business sustainability, and realise their wider
societal objectives. They are a vital store of intergenerational, monetary
capital and facilitator of community social capital.
As yet,
credit union leadership has not come up with a “bail-in” strategy that makes
sense. With the Government and Central Bank intent on stabilising the sector, credit
unions need to stop looking at this as a threat and realise the opportunity it
proposes.
A version of this article appeared in the Irish Examiner, Business Section, Monday 19th September 2011
Bill, another fine article on credit union issues. I have read your strategy document. It's a common sense approach which should have been adopted years ago. I don't believe that credit unions are up for it though as there is a total lack of leadership. I expect that the Government will let the Central Bank drive consolidation.
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